Brighton v Manchester United
Brighton have done well since resuming from the COVID-19 break, beating Arsenal 2-1 at home and then taking a point off Leicester, drawing 0-0 on the road. Those 4 points have ensured they have moved nicely clear of the relegation zone and just another couple of victories should see them guarantee their safety.
Brighton have played 15 home matches this season winning 5, drawing 6 and losing 4. Brighton home matches are amongst the lowest scoring in the EPL with just 4 of the 15 games reaching 3 goals or more at an average of 2.3 goals per game.
Manchester United are coming off a quarter-final win over Norwich and they have also taken 4 points from a possible 6 since returning from the break, drawing 1-1 away to Tottenham and beating Sheffield United 3-0 at home last time out extending their unbeaten run in the League to 7 matches.
United’s away format let them down this season with just 4 wins in 15 matches and they also had 5 draws and 6 defeats and their last 2 away matches have ended in draws. A surprising stat to me is that Manchester United away matches have been amongst the lowest scoring in the League with just 3 of the 15 games delivering for over 2.5 goal backers at an average of 2.3 goals per match.
The head-to-head stats between these sides have had goals in them with Manchester United winning 3-1 at home earlier in this season and Brighton won this fixture 3-2 last season.
Betting – Click here to bet
Manchester United 7/10
Suggested Bet: Under 2.5 goals at 7/10
While I am a bit concerned about the recent head-to-head record between the sides the stats for Brighton’s home games and Manchester United’s away matches suggest that 7/10 we get 2 goals or less in the match is a great price. For those of you who enjoy your first goal scorer bets one I fancy is Marcus Rashford to score first at a price of 9/2.